Over the past two years I ended up writing multiple well-received posts about AI takeoff and AI takeover, usually involving historical case-studies to serve as precedents and analogies. Since they all fit a theme, I’ve bundled them together in a sequence.
The most important posts are “The Date of AI Takeover…” and “Against GDP as a Metric…” If you only read two posts, read those. If you only read three, read those + the “Cortes, Pizarro, and Afonso… ” one. I’ve put them in suggested order of reading, but I have no evidence that this is the best order. You may prefer to read them in the order in which they were written, or in order of highest to lowest karma/score.
Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Precedents for Takeover by Daniel Kokotajlo 29th Feb 2020
The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over by Daniel Kokotajlo 22nd Oct 2020
Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency? by Daniel Kokotajlo 20th Nov 2020
Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds by Daniel Kokotajlo 29th Dec 2020
Replacement for PONR concept by Daniel Kokotajlo 1st Sep 2022
OpenAI Whistleblower Speaks | Daniel Kokotajlo Interview | Hard Fork | The New York Times | 10,028 views. 7 Jun 2024.
