To be less wrong is better. Most AI scientists and experts now believe AGI is 2 to 3 years away (2026-27)… and shortly thereafter the intelligence explosion which will transform our world.

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Rutherford: “Any one who says that with the means at present at our disposal and with our present knowledge we can utilize atomic energy is talking moonshine.” – – – September 11, 1933  [100% WRONG, the next day]

Naval Ravikant (2019): “An AI that can program as well or better than humans is an AI that just took over the world … that’s the end of the human species… we’re nowhere near close to General AI. Not in our lifetimes.”

September 12, 1933. The next day, Leo Szilard was the first person to imagine a reasonable mechanism for releasing the vast quantities of energy known to be stored in atomic nuclei. As it turned out, his concept worked the first time it was tried on December 2, 1942.

Naval Ravikant (2019): “An AI that can program as well or better than humans is an AI that just took over the world … that’s the end of the human species”.

In recent months, AI software engineers have been rapidly improving. pic.twitter.com/gHYqLXtr1O

— ControlAI (@ai_ctrl) September 2, 2024

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