PREDICTION:
- Within 10 years 70-80% of current G20 manual & knowledge worker jobs will be: (A) manually automated by physical robots, or (B) digitally automated by AGI
Therefore, most humans of working age (tax-payers in the G20) will either be:
- Personally incorporated; delivering “the personalized gig” on-demand directly to customers (people & machines) with digital cash/savings/payments on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), via mobile device, or
- State Supported; living off Universal Basic Income (UBI) with digital cash/payments on CBDC, via mobile device, or
- Retired; living off of owned/controlled capital with digital assets pegged to CBDC, via mobile device, or
- Hybrid; all of the above, with asset accounts directly held with with Central Bank, via mobile device, or
- Recluse; living off of the land, primitive nature.
The developing “south” (rest of 175 states) will probably be about the same in less than 20 years.
Notes:
- One AGI machine can easily hold a unique deep-learning database record for all 8 billion individual humans… and the AGI can know each human better than they know themselves, and the AGA could have the power and intelligence to influence that individual human one-to-one.
- Within the mobile social media industry, Meta is already basically doing this for advertisers with micro-targeting to 2 billion individual users.
- REF: CONSUMER REPORTS. Who Shares Your Information with Facebook? (hint: everybody)
- Who will own/control the personal data for 8 billion people? (the person, hopefully- not the AGI)
- About 40-60% of all jobs in the G7 will have integrated (or gone) to AI in 3-5 years.
- REF: FORBES. Half Of All Skills Will Be Outdated Within Two Years, [edX] Study Suggests. (2023)
- REF: IMF Blog. AI Will Transform the Global Economy. Let’s Make Sure It Benefits Humanity. AI will affect almost 40 percent of jobs around the world, replacing some and complementing others. We need a careful balance of policies to tap its potential.
- REF: Humans Need Not Apply (2014)
- REF: List of current jobs in the US…
| U.S. 2021 National Employment; 1,000s of Jobs. (1) | Code | Jobs 2021 |
| Total, all occupations | 00-0000 | 158,135,000 |
| Management occupations | 11-2000 | 11,685,000 |
| Business and financial operations occupations | 13-0000 | 9,987,000 |
| Computer and mathematical occupations | 15-0000 | 4,952,000 |
| Architecture and engineering occupations | 17-0000 | 2,563,000 |
| Life, physical, and social science occupations | 19-0000 | 1,436,000 |
| Community and social service occupations | 21-0000 | 2,843,000 |
| Legal occupations | 23-0000 | 1,368,000 |
| Educational instruction and library occupations | 25-0000 | 9,151,000 |
| Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations | 27-0000 | 2,789,000 |
| Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations | 29-0000 | 9,228,000 |
| Healthcare support occupations | 31-0000 | 7,026,000 |
| Protective service occupations | 33-0000 | 3,482,000 |
| Food preparation and serving related occupations | 35-0000 | 11,762,000 |
| Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations | 37-0000 | 5,415,000 |
| Personal care and service occupations | 39-0000 | 3,868,000 |
| Sales and related occupations | 41-0000 | 14,720,000 |
| Office and administrative support occupations | 43-0000 | 19,587,000 |
| Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations | 45-0000 | 1,070,000 |
| Construction and extraction occupations | 47-0000 | 7,026,000 |
| Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations | 49-0000 | 6,039,000 |
| Production occupations | 51-0000 | 8,787,000 |
| Transportation and material moving occupations | 53-0000 | 13,351,000 |
| Total, all occupations | 158,135,000 |